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Enabling the prediction of phage receptor specificity from genome data
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Enabling the prediction of phage receptor specificity from genome data

Lucas Moriniere, Avery J. C. Noonan, Alexey Kazakov +11 more
April 2026
 ·
bioRxiv
 ·
DOI 
10.64898/2026.04.02.716166
94
%
Reproducible
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It ranks in the top 1% of preprints assessed in Microbiology this quarter.
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Why this is interesting

Overturning the assumption that phage receptor specificity is intractable to predict, this study demonstrates—through 1,050 genome-wide screens and annotation-free machine learning—that sequence alone reliably encodes host interaction outcomes, unlocking rational phage engineering at scale.

QED claims analysis

Summary

Systematic phenotyping of 255 taxonomically diverse Escherichia coli dsDNA phages through 1,050 genome-wide screens establishes that phage receptor specificity can be predicted from genome sequence alone, with machine learning models achieving perfect precision and >80% recall on independently validated phages by identifying sequence determinants at gene, domain, and single-residue scales that are both necessary and sufficient to reprogram receptor recognition between distinct outer membrane proteins.

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Main Claim 1 –

Assembled verified 255 diverse E. coli dsDNA phages

Supporting evidence

  • Proteomic equivalence quotients confirm non-clonal phage diversity
Main Claim 2 –

1,050 genome-wide screens assign receptors to 193 phages

Supporting evidence

  • Targeted assays validate GluI and dual-receptor dependencies
  • Non-Straboviridae myo/podoviruses target NGR and LPS sugars
Main Claim 3 –

Comparative genomics links specificity to RBP domains and residues

Supporting evidence

  • GpJ domain co-occurrence with RBPs drives dual receptor use
  • NGR-binding domains evolved convergently in myoviruses and podoviruses
Main Claim 4 –

Genome-only models predict phage receptors with high recall

Supporting evidence

  • Predictive k-mers map to RBPs and interface-proximal residues
  • Models predict receptors for 1,060 NCBI E. coli phages

Abstract

Predicting which receptor a phage binds to from genome sequence alone has remained an intractable challenge, principally because the experimental phenotypic data required to train and validate predictive models have not been available at sufficient scale. Here we address this by conducting 1,050 genome-wide genetic screens across 255 taxonomically diverse Escherichia coli dsDNA phages, assigning host receptors to 193 phages across 19 receptor classes. Comparative genomics and AlphaFold3 structural modelling resolved the sequence determinants of specificity to defined receptor-binding protein domains and individual residues. Machine learning models trained on this dataset predicted host receptor identity from phage genome sequence alone without prior annotation of receptor-binding genes, achieving perfect precision and greater than 80% recall on 49 independently validated phages, and yielding predictions for 1,060 of 1,875 E. coli phage genomes in NCBI. Domain swaps redirected receptor specificity as predicted, and a single amino acid substitution proved both necessary and sufficient to switch recognition between two distinct porins. These results demonstrate that systematic phenotyping at scale makes sequence-based prediction of molecular interaction specificity tractable, with direct implications for phage-based medicine, microbiome engineering and the broader challenge of inferring host-pathogen interaction outcomes from sequence.

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