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Biophysical fitness landscape design traps viral evolution
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Biophysical fitness landscape design traps viral evolution

Vaibhav Mohanty, Eugene I. Shakhnovich
April 2026
 ·
bioRxiv
 ·
DOI 
10.1101/2025.03.30.646233
94
%
Reproducible
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It ranks in the top 1% of preprints assessed in Biophysics this quarter.
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Why this is interesting

By establishing that viral fitness landscapes are computationally designable, this work transforms vaccine strategy from reactive strain-matching to proactive evolutionary control—enabling antibody ensembles that preemptively suppress escape variant fitness trajectories before they emerge.

Author perspective

What is the most important insight, discovery, or finding from your paper that you would like other scientists to know?
“

Viruses constantly mutate their proteins to evade our immune systems, leading to a vicious cycle where our defenses lag behind viral evolution. Here, we've introduced fitness landscape design (FLD) as a paradigm for designing antibodies that can suppress dangerous viral mutations before they even arise. This work, which will be published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences in 2026, introduces computational protocols to discover these proactive antibodies and opens the door to combating other evolving diseases like cancers.

”
Vaibhav Mohanty
&
Eugene I. Shakhnovich

QED claims analysis

Summary

Biophysical fitness landscapes of viral surface proteins can be quantitatively designed and reshaped using computationally optimized antibody ensembles, enabling proactive vaccine strategies that trap viral escape variants under lower fitness ceilings by targeting future evolutionary peaks rather than current dominant strains.

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Main Claim 1 –

Antibody Ensembles Quantitatively Design User-Specified Biophysical Fitness Landscapes

Supporting evidence

  • Designability Phase Diagrams Reveal Codesignability Limits from Sequence Similarity
  • In Vitro Biophysical Model Predicts Viral Fitness from Binding Affinities
  • In Vivo Biophysical Model Fits SARS-CoV-2 Epidemiological Fitness Data
  • Chemical Reaction Simulations Validate Biophysical Fitness Model Approximations
  • Calibrating Force-Field Binding Energies Improves Fitness Prediction Accuracy
  • Potts Models Predict Antibody–Antigen Binding Energies Across Sequence Space
Main Claim 2 –

FLD-A Manipulates SARS-CoV-2 Neutral Networks While Suppressing Fitness

Main Claim 3 –

Iterative FLD-A Vaccination Traps Escape Variants Below Fitness Ceilings

Supporting evidence

  • iFLD-A Antibodies Slow Evolution in Polymorphic and Monomorphic Regimes

Abstract

Evolutionary adaptation is often visualized as a population’s stochastic climb toward the top of a fitness landscape. While there exist approaches to design or synthetically evolve proteins into desired structures, there is a lack of methodology for designing, tuning, and quantitatively reshaping the fitness landscapes themselves on which protein evolution takes place. Here, we introduce foundational principles of fitness landscape design (FLD) to customize the structural peaks and valleys of biophysical fitness landscapes with quantitative accuracy, offering robust control of long-term evolutionary outcomes. Our FLD algorithms use stochastic optimization of a chemically derived biophysical fitness model to consistently discover optimal antibody ensembles which force a target protein to evolve according to a user-specified target fitness landscape. We then apply FLD to suppress the fitnesses of two SARS-CoV-2 genotype neutral networks and to discover proactive vaccines that preemptively restrict escape variant fitness trajectories before they arise.

Significance Statement

Rapidly evolving viruses mutate to escape antibodies generated by the human immune system, leading to periodic waves of infection and death. Modern vaccine design approaches that focus on currently prevalent strains can be vulnerable to emerging escape mutations. An ideal strategy for proactive vaccine design requires not only immediate effectiveness, but also control over the viral fitness landscape to ensure optimal suppression of escape variants. Here, we introduce biophysics-based computational algorithms to discover optimal antibody ensembles that quantitatively reshape the viral fitness landscape to induce long-term suppression of fitness trajectories. These protocols, called biophysical fitness landscape design, open the door to improved pandemic preparedness via proactive vaccine, antibody, and peptide design, thinking several steps ahead of pathogen evolution.

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