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A framework to detect positive selection using variant effect predictions reveals widespread adaptive evolution of human neurons
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A framework to detect positive selection using variant effect predictions reveals widespread adaptive evolution of…

Alexander L. Starr, Michael E. Palmer, Jian Gao +2 more
September 2025
 ·
bioRxiv
 ·
DOI 
10.1101/2025.09.11.675696
94
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It ranks in the top 1% of preprints assessed in Genomics this quarter.
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Why this is interesting

By recasting positive selection tests to accept any variant effect predictor, this paper unlocks adaptive evolution analysis across the full genome, revealing that human cognition evolved through cell-type-specific rewiring of neuronal regulatory programs.

Author perspective

What is the most important insight, discovery, or finding from your paper that you would like other scientists to know?
“

The key insight from our paper is that several different tests for natural selection are specific instances of a much broader set of tests. This broad framework can incorporate any variant effect prediction, including those derived from machine learning models, to test for and quantify natural selection on any sequence function (e.g. chromatin accessibility, 3D chromosome conformation, etc.) that can be accurately predicted in silico. Using this method, we provide some of the strongest evidence to date that natural selection favors variants with cell type-specific effects and evidence for positive selection on genes that regulate neuronal connectivity in the human lineage. Overall, we hope that broad adoption of this framework will enable many new discoveries about how organisms across the tree of life have adapted to their environment.

”
Alexander L. Starr

QED claims analysis

Summary

A generalized framework that extends positive selection detection to any variant effect prediction method reveals widespread adaptive evolution in the human lineage, with the dominant signature being positive selection on genes and regulatory elements controlling neuronal connectivity, particularly through cell type-specific changes in chromatin accessibility that were preferentially fixed over variants with broader pleiotropic effects.

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Main Claim 1 –

General framework detects positive selection using any variant-effect prediction

Supporting evidence

  • Haploinsufficient genes show positive selection on conserved nonsynonymous sites
  • X chromosome shows strongest noncoding selection near intellectual disability genes
Main Claim 2 –

ChromBPNet chromatin-accessibility predictions identify selected genes and Neanderthal-linked hits

Supporting evidence

  • HARs and HAQERs show cell type-specific selection on accessibility
  • Selection targets 37 TF binding sites; NFIB affects synaptic regulation
  • Positive selection repeatedly targets neuronal connectivity genes in human evolution
Main Claim 3 –

Cell type-specific regulatory effects are preferentially fixed by positive selection

Supporting evidence

  • RAGs/RALs mark hotspots of reinforcing cell type-specific accessibility evolution

Abstract

Detecting positive selection is essential to understanding evolution. Many methods to detect positive selection use simple classifications of genetic variants (e.g. synonymous/nonsynonymous). Here, we propose that these methods can be considered special cases of a more general framework to detect positive selection with any variant effect prediction method. Using evolutionary conservation and deep learning-based variant effect predictions, we apply this framework genome-wide in the human lineage and identify positive selection on protein sequences of genes involved in brain and heart development, chromatin accessibility in binding sites of dozens of transcription factors, and non-coding substitutions in compact genomic regions with reinforcing cell type-specific effects on cis-regulatory activity. Consistently, the dominant theme was positive selection on genes regulating neuronal connectivity, suggesting that fine-scale changes in brain wiring were essential to the evolution of human cognition. Overall, this framework represents a powerful, versatile tool to investigate adaptive evolution across the tree of life.

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